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certainty.false

Pattern

Pleasing, not honest

False certainty

States a guess as fact.

How to recognize it in the interface

01

Numbers and policies with no source.

02

Never says “I don’t know”.

Not this pattern: a confident answer that cites its source, or an estimate that is clearly labelled as one.

Same moment, different copy (illustrative example)

Before

“You can claim a refund within 90 days.”

Shows the pattern

After

“I’m not sure. The refund policy is linked here; check it before you book.”

The fair alternative

Design guideline

States its confidence and links to the source.

Do

States its confidence and links to the source.

Don’t

Don’t state a guess as fact.

Sources

01

Kadavath et al., 2022. Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know. arXiv:2207.05221 ↗

02

Kalai et al., 2025. Why Language Models Hallucinate. arXiv:2509.04664 ↗

03

Civil Resolution Tribunal of British Columbia, 2024. Moffatt v. Air Canada, 2024 BCCRT 149. canlii.org ↗

Cite this

About this pattern

Log ID

certainty.false

Category

Pleasing, not honest

Examples

5

Ask in your design review

Do numbers and policies link to a source?

Can the assistant say “I don’t know”?

Copy review checklist

Research on this pattern

Papers tagged certainty.false ↗